Impact of Covid 19 Pandemic on Elective Rectal Cancer Surgery - Single Institution Experience

Introduction: Surgical treatment of rectal cancer depends on clinical stage, size and location of primary tumor. A sphincter preserving technique such as low anterior resection (LAR) is the preferred method if negative distal margin can be achieved. If an adequate distal margin cannot be obtained, an abdominoperineal resection (APR) is required. A proctosigmoidectomy (Hartmann's procedure) is performed in patients with potentially curable obstructing rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, or as a palliative treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer. Aim(s): The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the impact of COVID 19 pandemic on the number and type of surgeries performed for the treatment of rectal cancer in UHC Zagreb, Department of Surgery. Material(s) and Method(s): Collected data were extracted from medical records of the patients who underwent surgery at the Department of Surgery from 1st of January 2016 to 31st of December 2022 with prior Ethics Committee approval. Total of 688 patients were included. Retrospective analysis of number and type of surgery was done consecutively by years for the period of interest. Result(s): In 2016 total of 75 patients underwent elective surgery for rectal cancer. LAR was performed in 64% (N=48) of patients, Hartmann's procedure in 20% (N=15), and APR in 16% (N=12). In 2017, 94 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 64% (N=60), Hartmann's procedure 17% (N=16), and APR 19% (N=18). In 2018, 115 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 69% (N=79), Hartmann's procedure 10% (N=12), and APR 21% (N=24). In 2019, 80 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 67% (N=54), Hartmann's procedure 9% (N=80), and APR 24%. In 2020, 78 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 59% (N=46), Hartmann's procedure 14% (N=11), and APR 27% (N=21). In 2021, 124 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 66% (N=82), Hartmann's procedure 14% (N=17), and APR 20% (N=25). In 2022, 122 surgeries were performed. LAR accounted for 64% (N=78), Hartmann's procedure 15% (N=18), and APR 21% (N=26). Conclusion(s): Our results show steady growth in numbers of performed surgeries in the years prior to the pandemic, with exception of the year 2019 when our department underwent organizational changes. In 2020, significant decrease in number of surgeries was observed as a result of restrictive epidemiological measures established to reduce the spread of COVID 19 infection. COVID 19 pandemic measures also resulted in delayed diagnosis and treatment of rectal cancer which is indirectly shown through the increasing share of Hartmann's procedure. In the years following the relaxation of measures, significant increase in number of performed surgeries that exceeded all the pre-pandemic years was recorded. Constant elevated share of Hartmann's procedure was noted as possible consequence of post COVID delay in diagnosis and confirmation of rectal cancer in more advanced stages of disease.

No time to waste, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hip, knee, and shoulder arthroplasty surgeries in the Netherlands and Denmark

AimsThis study aimed to investigate the estimated change in primary and revision arthroplasty rate in the Netherlands and Denmark for hips, knees, and shoulders during the COVID- 19 pandemic in 2020 (COVID-period). Additional points of focus included the comparison of patient characteristics and hospital type (2019 vs COVID-period), and the estimated loss of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and impact on waiting lists.MethodsAll hip, knee, and shoulder arthroplasties (2014 to 2020) from the Dutch Arthroplasty Reg-ister, and hip and knee arthroplasties from the Danish Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Registries, were included. The expected number of arthroplasties per month in 2020 was estimated using Poisson regression, taking into account changes in age and sex distribution of the general Dutch/Danish population over time, calculating observed/expected (O/E) ratios. Country-specific proportions of patient characteristics and hospital type were calculated per indication category (osteoarthritis/other elective/acute). Waiting list outcomes including QALYs were estimated by modelling virtual waiting lists including 0%, 5% and 10% extra capacity.ResultsDuring COVID-period, fewer arthroplasties were performed than expected (Netherlands: 20%;Denmark: 5%), with the lowest O/E in April. In the Netherlands, more acute indica-tions were prioritized, resulting in more American Society of Anesthesiologists grade III to IV patients receiving surgery. In both countries, no other patient prioritization was present. Relatively more arthroplasties were performed in private hospitals. There were no clinically relevant differences in revision arthroplasties between pre- COVID and COVID-period. Esti-mated total health loss depending on extra capacity ranged from: 19,800 to 29,400 QALYs (Netherlands): 1,700 to 2,400 QALYs (Denmark). With no extra capacity it will take > 30 years to deplete the waiting lists.ConclusionThe COVID- 19 pandemic had an enormous negative effect on arthroplasty rates, but more in the Netherlands than Denmark. In the Netherlands, hip and shoulder patients with acute indications were prioritized. Private hospitals filled in part of the capacity gap. QALY loss due to postponed arthroplasty surgeries is considerable.

The Impact of COVID-19 on Surgical Disease

The impact of COVID-19 on surgical disease has been transformative. The complete extent of its impact is unlikely to be fully understood for decades to come. New surgical disease processes, many still being elucidated, have emerged as both a direct result of COVID-19, as well as sequelae from the pathophysiologic response to the disease. The most notable consequences include hypercoagulability due to COVID-19 as well as a predilection for gastrointestinal tract pathology. The perioperative sequelae of the novel COVID-19 virus on surgical disease remain unknown, but evidence suggests this disease increases perioperative risk. Perhaps just as concerning, are the economic impacts and paradigm altering consequences that have been felt. Elective surgeries ground to a halt, trauma activations experienced sharp upswings and downswings, and visits to doctors in general have taken a sharp downturn. This has led to delays in diagnosis and treatment, increases in morbidity and mortality, and dramatic changes in how surgical services around the world are run. This global pandemic will forever change how surgery is practiced and shape our profession for decades to come. © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022.

Getting it right first time: what have we learnt?

Getting It Right First Time (GIRFT) is a national programme of improvement to identify and reduce unwarranted variation and non-evidence-based practice in healthcare. It aims to improve patient care, increase productivity and reduce costs. Professor Tim Briggs, an orthopaedic surgeon, began the programme with a pilot review visiting every orthopaedic surgery department in England. He used publicly available data to illuminate variation, and worked with the clinicians and management to develop improvements. The impressive initial report in 2015 led to NHS Improvement investing £60m to expand the programme to 40 medical and surgical specialties. The follow-up Orthopaedic report detailed savings of £696m to the NHS. GIRFT is now sharing its data with the CQC and leading the charge with elective recovery following COVID-19. GIRFT differs from previous programmes of improvement through its peer led, supportive approach to promoting change with early engagement of both clinicians and management. Common themes run through the almost 40 specialty reports published to date: variation in procurement and litigation costs, huge variations in patient treatment options (often with a lack of evidence base) and poor data quality. Successfully applied in orthopaedic surgery, it has been taken on enthusiastically by other specialties. Whether it can deliver its objective of £1.4bn savings whilst improving patient outcomes is yet to be seen, but its approach is changing the culture of the NHS.

Management of the Surgical Patient during the First and Second Wave of COVID-19 Pandemic: Experience of a Tertiary Care Centre

Objective: Due to the COVID 19 pandemic healthcare providers all over the world had brought some changes in the management of surgical patients. This study is aimed to estimate the impact of pandemic on surgical practices. Material(s) and Method(s): We conducted a retrospective review of the medical records of all patients admitted to the department of general surgery (both elective & emergency), SCB Medical College and Hospital, Odisha, India from April 1 to July 31, 2020, and 2021 and the records were those of patients who were admitted in the same period in 2019. Data collection includes the number of admissions, the reason for admission, the age & gender of the patients admitted patients and type of management. Result(s): There was a 57.5% reduction in total admission during first COVID in pandemic 2020 and 58.7% reduction during second wave of pandemic in 2021. The proportion of patient presenting to emergency department was more in 2020 and 2021 than 2019. Number of emergency admission decreased by 46.54% in 2020 and 46% in 2021. There was a 79.5% drop in the number of out-patients admission in 2020 and 84% in 2021. Furthermore a 79.8% reduction in elective surgical intervention noticed in 2020 and 80% in 2021. Conservative management was preferred over surgical management during the COVID era. Conclusion(s): COVID-19 has led to a drastic reduction in outpatient and elective surgical practices. Hence creating a major concern for all surgeons about the critical situation.Copyright © 2023, Dr Yashwant Research Labs Pvt Ltd. All rights reserved.

COVID-19- A Challenge for Urology Subspecialty in an overwhelmed public sector hospital: A Descriptive Review of Urology Department, Lady Reading Hospital

Background: COVID-19 has brought unprecedented changes in every aspect of life throughout the world including the healthcare delivery system. After a grinding halt in surgical practice due to this pandemic, the conventional protocols needed a thorough overhaul before kick-starting formal services. This study discusses ways and procedure changes adopted at the Urology department to navigate this crisis and extend adequate urological care to patients at the same time. Aim(s): To share our experience of patient management in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic. Method(s): It's a descriptive review article based on patient management protocols and clinical audit in the era of COVID-19 pandemic at the Departmentof Urology, MTI, Lady Reading Hospital from 20th Marchto 20th June 2020. Clinical implication the benefit of this study is how to organize things and continue health care provision in a deadly pandemic. Furthermore, it will set a precedence that how to cope with such a pandemic in the future. Conclusion(s): All surgical patients should be screened for COVID-19, with preference given to PCR tests. All elective surgeries should be put on hold as a result of the limited availability of ventilators, manpower, and hospital beds. Only semi-elective, lifesaving and oncologic surgeries that cannot be delayed should be done with full PPEs provided to every personnel frequenting operating theaters during the procedure. Furthermore, more efforts are needed to lift the infrastructure of hospitals and make them capable to face problems of such proportions in the future.Copyright © 2023 Lahore Medical And Dental College. All rights reserved.

General Surgery Resident Case Numbers During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has had widespread effects on the healthcare system. For trainees, one particular detriment has been the cancellation of elective operations, reducing clinical experience and procedural volumes. Measures instituted to combat the pandemic have resulted in decreased cancellation of elective cases to varying degrees. The aim of this study is to evaluate the ongoing effect of the pandemic on resident operative volume. Method(s): Operative case numbers of general surgical graduates in 2019, 2020, and 2021 were extracted from the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education case logs. Data included mean total cases/graduate and means for individual case types. Data was considered by overall number of cases and cases performed as surgeon chief. Analysis of variance was employed to compare groups with p<0.05 considered significant. Result(s): Mean total major cases differed significantly among groups with reduced volume noted for 2020 graduates but no difference in volume between 2019 and 2021 graduates (1070.5+/-150 vs 1054.8+/-155 vs 1074.1+/-164, p=0.0041). This same pattern was noted for surgeon chief total cases (288.6+/-69 vs 264.4+/-67 vs 286.2+/-73, p<0.0001) as well as several major general surgery subcategories including cases involving the stomach, small intestine, large intestine, biliary system, among others. Conclusion(s): Despite continued reduction in and alteration of elective surgery practice, improved pandemic measures have allowed for increased surgical volume. This has translated to increased operative experience for graduating surgical trainees that are comparable to case numbers that preceded the pandemic. Ramifications for the 2020 graduating cohort as well subsequent cohorts require continued evaluation.

Implementation of Clean Hospital Strategy and Prioritizing Covid-19 Prevention Factors Using Best-Worst Method.

Many nations have suffered the catastrophe of COVID-19, and one of the first countries affected by the pandemic was Iran; all industries and individuals have been adversely affected by the pandemic. Health care systems and patients' conditions, in particular, were disrupted due to canceling elective surgery. To put it more sharply, a delay in performing elective surgery may potentially impact patients' survival and the quality of their lives. To cope with the new situation, in the first stage, the Clean Hospital strategy was proposed in order to minimize the effects of this pandemic on elective surgical services. The mentioned strategy is a try to provide a solution and resume elective surgeries in the pandemic period. In the second stage, panel discussion, Delphi method, and the best-worst method (BWM) were employed to prioritize the factors that inhibit Coronavirus transmission. The proposed strategy and the results of this study could be used by policymakers and health departments to resume elective surgeries and control the infection to maintain a hospital or a section of it clear. The overall result of the study showed that the most important Covid-19 prevention factors in Clean Hospitals were personal protection (w = 0.212), screening checklist (w = 0.182), and check body temperature (w = 0.126), respectively (C1 > C2 > C3). According to the financial, time, and human resource limitations, first, resources were allocated to higher priority criteria, and in order of priority, all items (C1, C2, …., C9) were used in the Clean hospital strategy.

Groin Hernia Repair during the COVID-19 Pandemic-A Romanian Nationwide Analysis.

Background and Objectives: Groin hernia repair surgery (GHRS) is among the most common elective interventions. The aim of this three-year nationwide study on GHRS is to provide a thorough analysis of the impact that the COVID-19 pandemic had on the Romanian Health System in regard to elective procedures. Materials and Methods: 46,795 groin hernia cases obtained between 2019 and 2021 from the DRG database using ICD-10 diagnostic codes. The data were collected from all 261 GHRS performing hospitals nationwide, including 227 public hospitals (PbH) and 34 private hospitals (PvH). The 42 variables taken into account were processed using Microsoft Excel 2021, applying Chi square, F-Test Two-Sample for variances, and Two Sample t-Test. The significance threshold considered was p < 0.001. Results: Of the grand total of cases, 96.2% were inguinal hernias, 86.8% were performed on men, 15.2% were laparoscopic procedures, and 6.88% were in PvH. Overall, due to the pandemic, the total number of GHRS decreased with 44.45% in 2020 and with 29.72% in 2021 compared to pre-pandemic year 2019. April 2020 shows the steepest decrease in GHRS (91 procedures nationwide). In the private sector, there was an opposite trend with increases in the number of cases by 12.21% and a 70.22% in both pandemic years. The mean admission period (MAP) for all procedures was 5.5 days. There was a significant difference between PbH and PvH (5.75 vs. 2.8 days, p < 0.0001). During the pandemic, the MAP in PbH decreased (6.02 in 2019, 5.82 in 2020 and 5.3 in 2021), remaining stable for PvH (2.9 days in 2019, 2.85 days in 2020 and 2.74 days in 2021). Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic significantly reduced the overall number of GHRS performed in Romania in 2020 and 2021, compared to 2019. However, the private sector thrived with an actual increase in the number of cases. There was a significant lower MAP in the PvH compared to PbH throughout the three-year period.

Establishing a COVID-secure site for elective surgery during the COVID pandemic: An observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Maintaining timely and safe delivery of major elective surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic is essential to manage cancer and time-critical surgical conditions. Our NHS Trust established a COVID-secure elective site with a level 2 Post Anaesthetic Care Unit (PACU) facility. Patients requiring level 3 Intensive Care Unit admission were transferred to a non-COVID-secure site. We investigated the relationship between perioperative anaesthetic care and outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All consecutive patients undergoing major surgery at the COVID-secure site between June and November 2020 were included. Patient demographics, operative interventions and 30-day outcomes were recorded. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the odds ratio of outcomes according to PACU length of stay and the use of spinal or epidural anaesthesia, with age, sex, malignancy status and American Society of Anesthesiologists grade as independent co-variables. RESULTS: There were 280 patients. PACU length of stay >23h was associated with increased 30-day complications. Epidural anaesthesia was associated with PACU length of stay >23h, increased total length of stay, increase hospital transfer and 30-day complications. Two patients acquired nosocomial COVID-19 following hospital transfer. DISCUSSION: Establishing a separate COVID-secure site has facilitated delivery of major elective surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic. Choice of perioperative anaesthesia and utilisation of PACU appear likely to affect the risk of adverse outcomes.

A Virtual Curriculum to Increase Exposure to Oncologic Subspecialties for Undergraduate Medical Students.

Medical student exposure to oncology is imperative given the prevalence of cancer, growing need for survivorship care, and ever-evolving therapies. Our institution offers a Cancer Care Elective for undergraduate medical students focused on clinical shadowing, but the COVID-19 pandemic necessitated completely redesigning a virtual alternative. In this study, we utilize a post-elective survey to 1) assess whether the novel virtual elective effectively promoted student learning and 2) identify which components were most impactful. We created an entirely virtual, semester-long course with structured mentorship, subspecialty panels, physician-led didactics, and patient exposure. Students attended multidisciplinary tumor boards and presented on oncologic topics. A post-elective survey assessed the course's impact on students' knowledge and the perceived value of each elective component. Of the 29 enrolled students, 12 responded to our survey (41%). Most students reported that the elective highly enhanced their understanding of medical (67%), surgical (75%), and pediatric (66%) oncology. The highest rated didactic involved patients discussing their cancer journeys, with 80% of students reporting that this session enhanced their understanding of patient-physician collaboration. Students reported that physician mentorship helped them better understand oncology (90%) and promoted interest in pursuing an oncologic career (100%). This study demonstrates that our virtual Cancer Care Elective was effective at increasing student understanding of oncology in practice. The results also suggest that patient exposure and physician mentorship are particularly educational and encouraging.

Efficiency estimation on the use of elective surgical theaters in the Chilean public health system from 2018 to 2021

OBjECTivE The efficient use of wards intended for elective surgeries is essential to resolve cases on the surgical waiting list. This study aims to estimate the efficiency of ward use in the Chilean public health system between 2018 and 2021.METHoDS The design was an ecological study. Section A.21 of the database constructed by the monthly statistical summaries that each public health network facility reported to the Ministry of Health between 2018 and 2021 was analyzed. Data from subsections A, E, and F were extracted: ward staffing, total elective surgeries by specialty, number, and causes of cancelation of elective sur-geries. Then, the surgical performance during working hours and the percentage of hourly oc-cupancy for a working day was estimated. Additionally, an analysis was made by region with data from 2021.RESulTS The percentage of elective wards relative to staffed wards ranged from 81.1% to 94.1%, while those enabled in relation to staffed wards ranged from 70.5% to 90.4% during 2018 and 2021. The total number of surgeries was highest in 2019 (n = 416 339), but for 2018, 2020, and 2021 it ranged from 259 000 to 297 000. Cancelations ranged between 10.8% (2019) and 6.9% (2021), with the leading cause being patient-related. When analyzing the number of cases canceled monthly by facility, we saw that the leading cause was trade union-related. The maximum throughput of a ward intended for elective surgery was reached in 2019 with 2.5 surgeries;in 2018, 2020, and 2021, the throughput was around two surgeries per enabled ward for elective surgery. The percentage of ward time occupied during working hours as compared to a contract day ranged from 80.7% (2018) and 56.8% (2020). CoNCluSioNS All the parameters found and estimated in this study show an inefficient utilization of operating rooms in Chilean public healthcare facilities.

The delaying of elective surgeries after COVID-19 infection decreases postoperative complications.

BACKGROUND: Huge controversy surrounds delaying elective surgeries after COVID-19 infection. Although two studies evaluated the issue, several gaps still exist. METHODS: A propensity score matched retrospective single center cohort design was used to evaluate the optimum time of delaying elective surgeries after COVID-19 infection and the validity of the current ASA guidelines in this regard. The exposure of interest was a previous COVID-19 infection. The primary composite included the incidence of death, unplanned Intensive Care Unit admission or postoperative mechanical ventilation. The secondary composite included the occurrence of pneumonia, acute respiratory distress, or venous thromboembolic. RESULTS: The total number of patients was 774, half of them had a history of COVID-19 infection. The analysis revealed that delaying surgeries for 4 weeks was associated with significant reduction in primary composite (AOR = 0.02; 95%CI: 0.00-0.33) and the length of hospital stay (B = 3.05; 95%CI: 0.41-5.70). Furthermore, before implementing the ASA guidelines in our hospital, a significant higher risk for the primary composite (AOR = 15.15; 95%CI: 1.84-124.44; P-value = 0.011) was observed compared to after applying it. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the optimum period of delaying elective surgery after COVID-19 infection is four weeks, with no further benefits from waiting for longer times. This finding provide further support to the current ASA guidelines about delaying elective surgeries. Further large-scale prospective studies are needed to give more evidence-based support to the appropriateness of the 4-week waiting time for elective surgeries after COVID-19 infection and to investigate the effect of type of surgery on the required delay.

Assessment of a Mindfulness Meditation Elective in an Accelerated Doctor of Pharmacy Program.

Objective: The objective of this study was to determine the effect of a live 14-week mindfulness elective course on the well-being of doctor of pharmacy students in an accelerated program.Methods: Pharmacy students enrolled in a mindfulness elective participated in weekly class sessions that included an eight-week mindfulness program geared towards emerging adults. Eight weekly reflections were assigned to students and evaluated using the Text iQ text-analysis tool in Qualtrics. Using ANOVA, investigators analyzed the Text iQ-assigned sentiment scores to detect differences in the tone of student reflections over time.Results: Twenty-four students were enrolled in this elective and 22 students submitted complete reflections for evaluation. Mean sentiment scores and the percentage of responses in sentiment score categories (very positive and positive, mixed and neutral, very negative and negative) for these reflections showed statistically significant differences between weeks.Conclusion: The tone of student reflections was more positive after these students learned and incorporated mindfulness practice into their accelerated Doctor of Pharmacy curriculum.

Evaluation of Factors Causing a Delay in Management and Hospital Stay in Diabetic Foot Amputation Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of different amputation levels in diabetic foot patients and the incidence of repetitive foot surgeries and evaluate the factors causing a delay in hospital stay and amputation of patients. METHODOLOGY: This prospective cohort study was conducted in Dr. Ruth K.M. Pfau, Civil Hospital Karachi, Pakistan. The study selected 375 participants from the clinic's daily patient inflow from October 2021 to March 2022 using a non-probability consecutive sampling technique. Those who had a delay in hospital stay and amputation were further followed up from May-October 2022. The chi-square test and Kruskal Wallis test (p-value <0.05) were used to correlate the effect of the level of lower limb amputation and the cause of delay in amputation using SPSS version 24.0. RESULT(S): Total 246(65.60%) were males and 129(34.40%) were females. Toe amputation was the most commonly seen amputation in 173(46.1%) participants. About 168(44.8%) patients had some in-hospital delay stay during their treatment. Preoperative hurdles (Uncontrolled RBS, Osteomyelitis, etc.) were the most common factor causing an in-hospital delay in 92(24.5%) patients. The level of amputation performed was found to be statistically significant with factors causing a delay in hospital stay through chi-square (p=0.003*) and Kruskal Wallis test H (2) statistic= 13.3, df = 3, H (2), P=0.004*). CONCLUSION(S): Diabetic foot is a frequent cause of amputation globally, majorly in developing countries like Pakistan. On-time provision of treatment to these patients can decline the global amputation rate due to diabetic foot ulcers.Copyright © 2023 Syeda Anjala Tahir.

Factors related to mortality in geriatric patients after elective surgery: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction: The increased number of surgery on the elderly is often followed by an increased risk of mortality rate. Identifying the risk factors of surgical death in elderly patients will be mandatory before making a decision. This study aimed to determine mortality-associated factors in older people who underwent inpatient elective surgery. Methods: This cohort retrospective study analyzed secondary data from the medical records of geriatric patients hospitalized at Dr. Kariadi Hospital Semarang in 2020. Patients aged ≥ 60 years and who have undergone elective surgery were included. Patients with incomplete medical records, who had undergone outpatient surgery, more than one surgery, and emergency surgery, Covid-19, were excluded. A total of 382 patients met the criteria. In this study, independent variables analyzed were age, sex, nutritional status based on body mass index, functional status by Barthel, marital status, residence status, number of comorbidities according to Charlson Comorbidity Index, albumin levels, electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities, surgery type, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status. The dependent variable was in-hospital mortality. In the logistic regression analysis, we identified the five most significant variables to allow for the prediction of in-hospital mortality. Results: Residence status (p= 0.003), ECG (p= 0.001), comorbidity (p <0.0001), albumin status (p< 0.0001), and ASA status (p< 0.0001) were identified as factors that affect postoperative mortality after multivariate analysis. Conclusion: In this study, mortality-associated factors were living alone, ECG abnormality, comorbidity > 2, hypoalbumin, and ASA > 2. © 2023, Sanglah General Hospital. All rights reserved.

The Relationship Between Public Interest and Surgical Demand During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

INTRODUCTION: Surgical databases are useful for examining outcomes and case volume to improve care, while public interest data has the potential to track the supply and demand of medical services in specific communities. However, the relationship between public interest data and case volume from surgical databases, specifically during disruptive instances like the coronavirus pandemic, is unknown. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to determine how public interest data is related to the case volume of coronavirus and other surgical procedures performed during the coronavirus pandemic. METHODS: This retrospective study included a review of appendectomy, total hip arthroplasty (THA), and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) cases from the National Surgery Quality Improvement Project and relative search volume (RSV) of hip replacement, knee replacement, appendicitis, and coronavirus from Google Trends from 2019 to 2020. T-tests were used to compare surgical caseload and RSV data before and after the COVID-19 surge in March 2020, while linear models were used to determine relationships between confirmed procedures and relative search volumes. RESULTS: The RSV for knee replacement (p < 0.001, Cohen's D [d] = -5.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -7.64 to -2.34) and hip replacement (p < 0.001, d = -7.22, 95% CI: -10.85 to -3.57) had a large dip during the coronavirus pandemic, while the RSV for appendicitis had a smaller dip (p = 0.003, d = -2.37, 95% CI: -3.93 to -0.74). Linear models showed very strong linear relationships between surgical RSV and surgical volume for TKA (R2 = 0.931) and THA (R2 = 0.940). CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant reduction in the number of elective surgeries, which correlated to drops in public interest during COVID-19. The strong correlations between RSV, surgical volume, and coronavirus cases indicate that public interest can be used to track and predict surgical case volume. Our findings allow for greater insight into the use of public interest data to gauge surgical demand.